{"id":195724,"date":"2026-03-05T06:46:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/infoelnuevonorte.com\/?p=195724"},"modified":"2026-03-05T06:46:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:46:34","slug":"conflicto-en-iran-y-cierre-del-estrecho-de-ormuz-podria-causar-danos-irreversibles-en-la-economia-mundial-advierte-experto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infoelnuevonorte.com\/?p=195724","title":{"rendered":"Conflicto en Ir\u00e1n y cierre del estrecho de Ormuz podr\u00eda causar da\u00f1os irreversibles en la econom\u00eda mundial, advierte experto"},"content":{"rendered":"<!--[if lt IE 9]><script>document.createElement('audio');<\/script><![endif]-->\n<audio class=\"wp-audio-shortcode\" id=\"audio-195724-1\" preload=\"none\" style=\"width: 100%;\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"audio\/mpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/infoelnuevonorte.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ttsmaker-vip-file-2026-3-5-6-45-55.mp3?_=1\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/infoelnuevonorte.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ttsmaker-vip-file-2026-3-5-6-45-55.mp3\">https:\/\/infoelnuevonorte.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ttsmaker-vip-file-2026-3-5-6-45-55.mp3<\/a><\/audio>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Santo Domingo, RD. <\/strong>\u2013 Un <strong>conflicto prolongado<\/strong> en Ir\u00e1n, sumado al cierre del estrat\u00e9gico estrecho de Ormuz durante m\u00e1s de tres semanas, podr\u00eda generar consecuencias econ\u00f3micas irreversibles a nivel global, advirti\u00f3 el abogado, diplom\u00e1tico y experto en relaciones internacionales Iv\u00e1n Gat\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El especialista explic\u00f3 que una escalada militar sostenida en esa zona tendr\u00eda un impacto directo en las econom\u00edas del mundo, principalmente por la interrupci\u00f3n del <strong>tr\u00e1nsito<\/strong> energ\u00e9tico internacional, lo que provocar\u00eda un aumento significativo de la inflaci\u00f3n y tensiones pol\u00edticas en diversas potencias.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Gat\u00f3n se\u00f1al\u00f3 que, aunque <strong>Estados Unidos<\/strong> mantiene superioridad militar, una intervenci\u00f3n terrestre en Ir\u00e1n resultar\u00eda extremadamente compleja debido a la extensi\u00f3n territorial del pa\u00eds \u2014de aproximadamente un mill\u00f3n y medio de kil\u00f3metros cuadrados\u2014 y a la fortaleza de sus estructuras militares, integradas por la Guardia Revolucionaria y el ej\u00e9rcito regular, adem\u00e1s de una poblaci\u00f3n altamente cohesionada.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"moz-reader-block-img\" src=\"https:\/\/eldia.com.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Ivan-Gaton-Diplomatico.jpg\" alt=\"Iv\u00e1n Gat\u00f3n, abogado, diplom\u00e1tico y experto en temas internacionales.\/ Foto: Jos\u00e9 De Le\u00f3n.\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" \/><\/span>\n<figcaption><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Iv\u00e1n Gat\u00f3n, abogado, diplom\u00e1tico y experto en temas internacionales.\/ Foto: Jos\u00e9 De Le\u00f3n.<\/span><\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cEl escenario cambia completamente si el conflicto se extiende cuatro o cinco semanas con el estrecho de Ormuz cerrado. Los efectos sobre las econom\u00edas del mundo ser\u00edan pr\u00e1cticamente irremediables\u201d, afirm\u00f3 durante su participaci\u00f3n en el <strong>Almuerzo del Grupo de Comunicaciones Corripio<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El experto destac\u00f3 que un aumento global de la inflaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda incluso alterar escenarios pol\u00edticos internacionales, especialmente en Estados Unidos, donde el desempe\u00f1o econ\u00f3mico suele ser determinante en los procesos electorales.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Impacto estrat\u00e9gico y l\u00edmites militares<\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Durante su an\u00e1lisis, Gat\u00f3n indic\u00f3 que a <strong>Washington <\/strong>tampoco le conviene una guerra prolongada, ya que implicar\u00eda un desgaste militar y log\u00edstico considerable. Se\u00f1al\u00f3 adem\u00e1s que autoridades estadounidenses han reconocido limitaciones en la capacidad industrial para reponer r\u00e1pidamente el armamento utilizado en el conflicto.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">En ese contexto, consider\u00f3 probable que tanto <strong>Estados Unidos<\/strong> como Israel busquen acortar la duraci\u00f3n de las hostilidades para evitar un deterioro mayor de la estabilidad global.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"moz-reader-block-img\" src=\"https:\/\/eldia.com.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Estrecho-de-Ormuz-1024x597-1.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"597\" \/><\/span><\/figure>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Comprender el mundo musulm\u00e1n<\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El diplom\u00e1tico tambi\u00e9n subray\u00f3 la necesidad de que Occidente comprenda mejor las din\u00e1micas culturales y religiosas del mundo musulm\u00e1n para interpretar correctamente los conflictos en la regi\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">A su juicio, factores hist\u00f3ricos, religiosos y sociales influyen profundamente en la forma en que se desarrollan las guerras y en la disposici\u00f3n de ciertos grupos a sostener enfrentamientos prolongados.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cNecesitamos aprender m\u00e1s sobre esas sociedades para poder interpretar adecuadamente sus decisiones y comportamientos en escenarios de conflicto\u201d, expres\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"moz-reader-block-img\" src=\"https:\/\/eldia.com.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Ivan-Gaton-Y-Luis-Gonzalez.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" \/><\/span><\/figure>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Fragmentaci\u00f3n occidental<\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Finalmente, Gat\u00f3n advirti\u00f3 que uno de los desaf\u00edos actuales del mundo occidental es la fragmentaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica y social tanto en Europa como en Estados Unidos, lo que dificulta respuestas coordinadas ante crisis internacionales de gran escala.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El experto concluy\u00f3 que la evoluci\u00f3n del conflicto depender\u00e1 de decisiones estrat\u00e9gicas en las pr\u00f3ximas semanas, periodo que considera crucial para evitar una crisis econ\u00f3mica mundial de mayores proporciones.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div 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A trav\u00e9s de la web <strong data-start=\"188\" data-end=\"212\">infoelnuevonorte.com<\/strong>, el medio ofrece informaci\u00f3n veraz y oportuna sobre los acontecimientos sociales, pol\u00edticos, comunitarios y de actualidad general, tanto a nivel nacional como internacional, promoviendo un periodismo responsable, participativo y comprometido con la libre expresi\u00f3n y el fortalecimiento de la democracia informativa.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Santo Domingo, RD. \u2013 Un conflicto prolongado en Ir\u00e1n, sumado al cierre del estrat\u00e9gico estrecho de Ormuz durante m\u00e1s de tres semanas, podr\u00eda generar consecuencias econ\u00f3micas irreversibles a nivel global, advirti\u00f3 el abogado, diplom\u00e1tico y experto en relaciones internacionales Iv\u00e1n Gat\u00f3n. El especialista explic\u00f3 que una escalada militar sostenida en esa zona tendr\u00eda un impacto [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":195725,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,2391],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Conflicto en Ir\u00e1n y cierre del estrecho de Ormuz podr\u00eda causar da\u00f1os irreversibles en la econom\u00eda mundial, advierte experto | El Nuevo Norte<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/infoelnuevonorte.com\/?p=195724\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Conflicto en Ir\u00e1n y cierre del estrecho de Ormuz podr\u00eda causar da\u00f1os irreversibles en la econom\u00eda mundial, advierte experto | El Nuevo Norte\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Santo Domingo, RD. \u2013 Un conflicto prolongado en Ir\u00e1n, sumado al cierre del estrat\u00e9gico estrecho de Ormuz durante m\u00e1s de tres semanas, podr\u00eda generar consecuencias econ\u00f3micas irreversibles a nivel global, advirti\u00f3 el abogado, diplom\u00e1tico y experto en relaciones internacionales Iv\u00e1n Gat\u00f3n. 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